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My ETF Trading

part 4

How I use short ETF stocks in my best ETF trading system

Short ETF stocks are important group of stocks I use in my ETF trading system.

These ETF shares allow me easily enter short trade in case that standard ETF stocks are hard to borrow for short selling.

There are several short ETFs available.

  • Short ETF stocks for shorting US markets and sectors
  • Short ETF stocks for shorting Bonds
  • Short ETF stock for shorting foreign markets
  • Short ETF stock for shorting commodities

I do most trades based on ETF from first group which allows me to make short trade in sector poised for decline(based on my stock chart analysis).

I use relative strength analysis as my main tool for deciding which sector should be watched as good candidate for decline.

This relative strength analysis is done in these steps:

  • relative analysis of whole markets - i.e. what is prevailing stock market trading trend
  • analysis of relative performance between stock market index(like Nasdaq composite) and related sector (like Semiconductors or Internets)

When possible candidates for short trade are selected, then I put them in watch list. I also use my stock chart analysis principles to find major support and resistance levels and possible stock chart pattern. Based on these points I prepare trade setups which are based mostly on break of some of important support/resistance level or pullback from such levels.


How to analyze Ultra Short ETF for US markets and US sectors

These inverse ETFs are based on major market indexes or Dow Jones sector indexes. So I have list of these indexes and charts them in my stock analysis software. Here is the list I use personally now:

$DJUSBM,$DJUSCY,$DJUSEN,$DJUSFN,$DJUSHC,$DJUSIN,
$DJUSNC,$DJUSRET,$DJUSTC,$DJUSUT,$DJUSSC,$TRAN,
$SPHOME,$DJINET

Here is example of relative strength analysis by comparison of two chart. One is major market index - S&P500 - and second is one DJUSUT - Utility sector index. You can see relative weakness of DJUSUT index against SPX index in last 2-3 weeks . So Ultra short Utility ETF was worth of watching for possible trade.

SPX relative strength stock chart analysis

DJUSUT relative weakness stock chart analysis



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